2028 United States presidential election

2028 United States presidential election

November 7, 2028

538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
 
Party Republican Democratic

2028 electoral map, based on the results of the 2020 census.

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The 2028 United States presidential election will be the 61st quadrennial presidential election. The election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028, along with other state and federal elections.[1] It will be the last presidential election to use population information from the 2020 census. Voters will elect a president and vice president to a four-year term. The winners of the election will be inaugurated on January 20, 2029.

Donald Trump won the 2016 and 2024 elections and cannot run for re-election to a third term due to the Twenty-second Amendment. Trump's second term expires at noon on January 20, 2029.

Vice President JD Vance and Governors Ron DeSantis, Brian Kemp and Glenn Youngkin are potential contenders for the Republican presidential nomination.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governors Andy Beshear, Roy Cooper, Gavin Newsom, JB Pritzker, Josh Shapiro, and Gretchen Whitmer are potential contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Background

Donald Trump and JD Vance won the 2024 presidential election. Trump, who was elected president in 2016, but lost the election in 2020 to then-former vice president Joe Biden. Trump defeated incumbent vice president Kamala Harris, who began her campaign following Biden's drop out of the race.[2][3] Republicans secured control of the Senate and retained a House majority.[4]

Eligibility and requirements

Article II, Section 1, Clause 5 of the Constitution states for a person to serve as president must:

  • be a natural-born citizen of the United States. [note 1]
  • be at least thirty-five years old.
  • be a permanent resident in the United States for at least fourteen years.

Electoral map

In the Electoral College, this results in major-party candidates primarily focusing their campaigns on swing states, which can swing between parties from election to election. These states are critical for a presidential candidate's path to victory. For 2028, the expected swing states are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. The others include Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina, which all were won by Trump in 2024.[5][6][7]

Republican Party

Potential candidates

Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis has been the governor of Florida since 2019 and recently ran for the Republican nomination in 2024.[8] He appeared in a debate with California governor Gavin Newsom hosted by Fox News' Sean Hannity in November 2023, in what was viewed by NBC News as a potential 2028 presidential bid.[9]

Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp has been the governor of Georgia since 2019.[10] Kemp has been seen as a potential candidate as being term-limited as governor. New sources believe Kemp will either run for U.S. Senate in 2026 or for president in 2028.[11][12]

JD Vance

JD Vance has been the Vice President of the United States since 2025. He was elected vice president after winning the 2024 election as Trump's running mate. Vance is the frontrunner in the primary election, according to The New York Times.[13] He has been dubbed the "MAGA heir-apparent" or "heir apparent of Trumpism" according to USA Today.[14] The Hill stated that Vance's debate performance against Minnesota Governor Tim Walz in October 2024 improved his status as a presidential contender.[15]

Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin has been the governor of Virginia since 2022, and cannot run for re-election by the state's constitution to a second consecutive term. Youngkin has been reported as a possible candidate by Politico.[16] According to The Washington Post, he is prepping for a 2028 presidential bid.[17]

Democratic Party

Potential candidates

Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear has been the governor of Kentucky since 2019. He was recently on the shortlist to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election,[18] and was seen as a potential replacement for President Joe Biden before he withdrew from the race.[19] In October 2024, Beshear headlined an event for the New Hampshire Democrats, a key early primary state, where he promoted both himself and Vice President Kamala Harris to attendees, signaling his future aspirations.[20] In response to ongoing speculation about his political ambitions, Beshear has stated in an interview with WDKY-TV that he will "see what the future holds", without actually ruling out a potential presidential run.[21]

Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper served as the governor of North Carolina from 2017 to 2025. He was considered a potential contender to be the vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election but removed himself from consideration.[22] The New York Times mentioned that Cooper could be a contender for the Democratic party’s 2028 nomination.[23] Politico has also referred to Cooper as a potential contender for the 2028 Democratic Party's presidential nomination.[24]

Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris was the vice president of the United States from 2021 to 2025. She became the nominee for president in the 2024 presidential election after Biden withdrew his bid, losing to Donald Trump.[25] Harris, who has the largest donor network in the Democratic Party, may run for the presidency again in 2028 according to The New York Times[25] and Politico.[26] Her loss in the last election could be seen as a disadvantage.[25] In November 2024, Politico reported that Harris is considering running for president in 2028 or for California governor in 2026.[27]

Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom has served as the governor of California since 2019. Newsom has been viewed as a contender for the 2028 presidential election by The New York Times,[28] Politico,[26] and The Washington Post after he garnered national attention by December 2023.[29] He was seen as a potential replacement for Biden after his withdrawal from the 2024 election by The New York Times.[30] According to The New York Times, Newsom was considering a bid for the presidency by September 2023.[31] In November 2023, he was in a debate with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis hosted by Fox News' Sean Hannity. The debate was seen as a possible presidential bid by NBC News.[9]

Dean Phillips

Dean Phillips has served as the representative of Minnesota's 3rd congressional district since 2019. Phillips ran a campaign against Biden in the 2024 Democratic presidential primaries.[32] Phillips received the second-highest number of delegates of any candidate in the primaries, but was unsuccessful.[33] In an interview with CBS Minnesota, Phillips was asked about his future political aspirations. He ruled out a bid for the U.S. senate or the governor's office in 2026 but said, "never say never" regarding another presidential campaign in 2028.[34] The HuffPost reported that after the election, Phillips said of his White House bid, “I would do it a thousand times again.”[35]

JB Pritzker has been the governor of Illinois since 2019. Pritzker is a potential Democratic contender, according to Chicago Sun-Times.[36] With Newsom, he donated to Middleton.[37]

Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro has been the governor of Pennsylvania since 2023. Shapiro has been seen as a critical figure in Pennsylvania by Democratic strategists and officials, according to Politico and as a politician who could gain votes from white working-class voters, according to CNN.[38] He was said to be a front-runner in the primary by The Philadelphia Inquirer.[39] According to The New York Times, Shapiro was seen as a potential replacement for Biden.[30]

Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer had been the governor of Michigan since 2019. Whitmer has been discussed as a contender in 2028, although she distanced herself from speculation in an interview with Lulu Garcia-Navarro of The New York Times Magazine in June 2024.[40] She disavowed a movement to replace Biden.[41]

Declined to be candidates

The following individuals stated that they would not run for president and would not run for the Republican nomination:

The following individuals have stated they would not run for the Democrat nomination:

The following candidates have declined interest in running:

Opinion polling

Republican primary

Aggregate

Aggregator Updated JD Vance Donald Trump Jr. Ron DeSantis Marco Rubio Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Chris Christie Nikki Haley Ted Cruz Vivek Ramaswamy Other Lead
Race to the WH September 22, 2025 48.5% 5.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.7% 4.0% 3.8% 3.0% 3.7% 8.2% Vance +37.7%

Nationwide

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.[c]
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Marco
Rubio
Donald
Trump[d]
Donald
Trump Jr.
JD
Vance
Other Undecided
Atlas Intel September 12–16, 2025 1,066 (A) 16.3% 5.7% 12.2% 1.2% 54.6% 10%[e]
YouGov September 5–8, 2025 1,114 (A) 2% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4% 10% 44% 6%[f] 20%
Leger360 August 29–31, 2025 308 (LV) 8% 9% 50% 19%[g] 14%
McLauglin & Associates August 21–26, 2025 457 (RV) 10% 3% 2% 4% 16% 36% 11%[h] 18%
Emerson College August 25–26, 2025 410 (RV) 2.4% 7.1% 3.8% 4.5% 2.8% 9.4% 51.7% 7.2%[i] 11.1%
Echelon Insights August 14–18, 2025 441 (LV) 2% 9% 4% 9% 2% 6% 43% 10%[j] 15%
Atlas Intel July 13–18, 2025 1,935 (A) 13.2% 1.8% 9.7% 4.6% 57.9% 12.8%[k]
Echelon Insights July 10–14, 2025 463 (LV) 3% 9% 6% 5% 4% 7% 42% 8%[l] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates July 9–14, 2025 459 (LV) 8% 4% 3% 4% 19% 31% 10%[m] 21%
Overton Insights June 23–26, 2025 444 (RV) 11% 7% 4% 3% 9% 26% 32% 9%
Emerson College June 24–25, 2025 416 (RV) <0.5% 9% 2% 5% 1% 12% 46% 9%[n] 17%
co/efficient June 12–16, 2025 1,035 (LV) 10% 6% 5% 24% 61% 11%[o] 9%
McLaughlin & Associates June 10–15, 2025 455 (LV) 6% 4% 2% 4% 14% 36% 10%[p] 24%
Atlas Intel May 21–27, 2025 1,044 (A) 8% 5.3% 18.7% 8.8% 37.3% 21.8%[q]
McLaughlin & Associates May 21–26, 2025 457 (LV) 5% 4% 1% 5% 19% 34% 10%[r] 22%
JL Partners May 13–14, 2025 975 (RV) 6% 8% 5% 7% 6% 46% 9%[s] 13%
Echelon Insights May 8–12, 2025 426 (LV) 4% 7% 8% 6% 5% 4% 44% 9%[t] 13%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–29, 2025 456 (LV) 6% 5% 2% 2% 14% 43% 9%[u] 19%
J.L. Partners,[v] April 23–28, 2025 1,006 (RV) 4% 8% 5% 3% 5% 48% 12%[w] 14%
2% 6% 4% 3% 3% 39% 19% 14%[x] 11%
2% 10% 4% 5% 3% 11% 40% 12%[y] 12%
YouGov/ The Times April 21–23, 2025 1,296 (A) 3% 6% 2% 5% 4% 2% 16% 5% 31% 6%[z] 20%
Atlas Intel April 10–14, 2025 2,347 (A) 9% 1% 9% 60% 16%[aa] 6%
Echelon Insights April 10–14, 2025 1,014 (LV) 1% 9% 4% 7% 5% 4% 47% 7%[ab] 16%
Yale Youth Poll[v] April 1–3, 2025 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2% 56% 19% 8%[ac]
3% 8% 4% 9% 4% 3% 53% 17%[ad]
YouGov/Economist March 30 – April 1, 2025 594 (RV) 2% 8% 3% 2% 3% 4% 11% 43% 4%[ae] 20%
Overton Insights March 24–28, 2025 536 (RV) 13% 6% 6% 31% 36% 7%[af]
Echelon Insights March 10–13, 2025 450 (LV) 5% 7% 7% 7% 3% 4% 46% 5%[ag] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates February 11–18, 2025 468 (LV) 6% 3% 4% 3% 17% 37% 10%[ah] 22%
Echelon Insights February 10–13, 2025 466 LV 4% 10% 8% 5% 4% 39% 10%[ai] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates January 22–27, 2025 453 (LV) 8% 2% 3% 3% 21% 27% 11%[aj] 24%
January 20, 2025 Second inauguration of Donald Trump
McLaughlin & Associates December 11–16, 2024 463 (LV) 9% 4% 4% 2% 21% 25% 9%[ak] 24%
Morning Consult December 6–8, 2024 994 (RV) 9% 6% 5% 5% 1% 30% 30% 19%[al]
Emerson College[v] November 20–22, 2024 420 (RV) 1% 5% 2% 2% 3% 1% 23% 30% 9%[am][an] 28%
Echelon Insights November 14–18, 2024 483 (LV) 5% 8% 9% 9% 5% 37% 9%[ao] 18%
November 5, 2024 2024 United States presidential election held.
Echelon Insights July 19–21, 2024 456 (LV) 4% 14% 9% 10% 2% 25% 16%[ap] 21%
Echelon Insights January 16–18, 2024 832 (RV) 27% 19% 18% 1% 18%[aq] 17%

Statewide

California
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
JD
Vance
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 4–5, 2025 221 (LV) 6.4% 8.8% 9.9% 39.6% 18.8%[ar] 16.5%
Florida
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] JD
Vance
Ron
DeSantis
Undecided
Fabrizio February 26–27, 2025 600 (LV) 47% 33% 20%
New Hampshire
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Ron
DeSantis
Tulsi
Gabbard
Marco
Rubio
JD
Vance
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm August 26–27, 2025 1776 (RV) 8% 5% 7% 56% 17%[as] 7%
North Carolina
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Ron
DeSantis
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.[at]
Marco
Rubio
JD
Vance
Other Undecided
Emerson College July 28–30, 2025 416 (LV) 7.4% 5.1% 5.3% 53% 14.4%[au] 14.8%
Ohio
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Ron
DeSantis
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Marco
Rubio
JD
Vance
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 18–19, 2025 490 (RV) 6.7% 6.3% 8.9% 55.4% 12.4%[av] 10.3%
Texas
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Marco
Rubio
JD
Vance
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 11–12, 2025 491 (RV) 8.8% 6.1% 5.8% 44.6% 18%[aw] 16.7%

Democratic primary

Aggregate

Aggregator Updated Gavin Newsom Kamala Harris Pete Buttigieg Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB Pritzker Tim Walz Josh Shapiro Cory Booker Other Lead
Race to the WH September 22, 2025 24.8% 21.4% 10.2% 8.3% 3.1% 3.1% 4% 3.7% 21.4% Newsom +3.4%

Nationwide

Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Josh
Shapiro
Tim
Walz
Other Undecided
Echelon Insights September 18–22, 2025 500 (LV) 6% 7% 23% 17% 7% 2% 6% 2% 19%[ax] 12%
Atlas Intel September 12–16, 2025 1,066 (A) 2.9% 12.1% 20.5% 37.4% 10.8% 2.1% 3.6% 10.4%[ay]
YouGov September 5–8, 2025 1,114 (A) 1% 6% 19% 23% 8% 4% 5% 18%[az] 16%
YouGov/Yahoo August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,690 (A) 10% 19% 21% 12% 7% 4% 4% 2%[ba]
Leger360 August 29–31, 2025 328 (LV) 8% 30% 24% 10% 4% 2% 5%[bb] 18%
McLaughlin & Associates August 21–26, 2025 434 (RV) 3% 9% 27% 18% 4% 2% 3% 2% 12%[bc] 20%
Emerson College August 25–26, 2025 387 (RV) 2.3% 16% 11.4% 25.1% 4.1% 4.1% 5.3% 2.2% 13.6%[bd] 15.9%
Morning Consult August 22–24, 2025 9% 29% 19% 6% 22%[be] 15%
Echelon Insights August 14–18, 2025 552 (LV) 5% 11% 26% 13% 6% 3% 3% 2% 15%[bf] 16%
Atlas Intel July 13–18, 2025 1,935 (A) 4.1% 26.7% 14.5% 15.8% 18.5% 3.2% 8.7% 8.5%[bh]
Echelon Insights July 10–14, 2025 505 (LV) 7% 11% 26% 10% 6% 2% 4% 3% 18%[bi] 13%
8% 12% 12% 9% 3% 5% 7% 25%[bj] 19%
McLaughlin & Associates July 9–14, 2025 444 (LV) 4% 8% 25% 9% 9% 2% 4% 4% 13%[bk] 22%
Rasmussen Reports June 25–26, and 29, 2025 1,229 (LV) 6% 8% 22% 12% 6% 12% 5% 15%[bl] 15%
Overton Insights June 23–26, 2025 396 (RV) 4% 11% 38% 10% 7% 7% 7% 9%[bm] 6%
7% 15% 15% 11% 8% 15% 15%[bn] 16%
67% 20% 6%[bo] 8%
Emerson College June 24–25, 2025 404 (RV) 3% 16% 13% 12% 7% 2% 7% 16%[bp] 23%
co/efficient June 12–16, 2025 1,035 (LV) 11% 26% 21% 14% 3% 10% 33%[bq] 11%
McLaughlin & Associates June 10–15, 2025 434 (LV) 7% 10% 30% 8% 7% 1% 3% 4% 13%[br] 21%
Morning Consult June 13–15, 2025 1,000 (RV) 3% 7% 34% 11% 7% 2% 2% 4% 24%[bs] 16%
Atlas Intel May 21–27, 2025 930 (A) 10.4% 31.5% 16.6% 7.1% 19.4% 0.1% 4.8% 10.1%[bt]
McLaughlin & Associates May 21–26, 2025 439 (LV) 7% 10% 29% 4% 9% 2% 6% 3% 11%[bu] 19%
Echelon Insights May 8–12, 2025 471 (LV) 6% 10% 32% 5% 8% 5% 2% 5% 14%[bv] 13%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–29, 2025 442 (LV) 7% 6% 30% 8% 8% 3% 4% 4% 9%[bw] 21%
YouGov/The Times April 21–23, 2025 1,296 (A) 7% 9% 28% 7% 7% 3% 4% 3% 10%[bx] 22%
Quantus Insights April 21–23, 2025 1,000(RV) 13% 13% 30% 7% 14% 5% 5% 6%[by] 5%
Atlas Intel April 10–14, 2025 2,347 (A) 9% 28% 24% 7% 16% 15%[bz] 2%
Data For Progress April 9–14, 2025 745 (LV) 14% 17% 10% 14% 4% 6% 7% 15%[ca] 9%
Data For Progress April 9–14, 2025 745 (LV) 12% 14% 18% 8% 12% 4% 5% 4% 16%[cb] 7%
Echelon Insights April 10–14, 2025 1,014 (V) 11% 7% 28% 4% 7% 3% 3% 5% 17%[cc] 12%
Yale Youth Poll April 1–3, 2025 14% 28% 6% 21% 3% 5% 23%[cd]
YouGov/Economist March 30 – April 1, 2025 650 (RV) 1% 10% 25% 7% 8% 4% 20%[ce] 25%
Morning Consult March 14–16, 2025 3% 10% 36% 5% 5% 2% 4% 5% 21%[cf] 13%
Echelon Insights March 10–13, 2025 457 (LV) 2% 10% 33% 7% 7% 2% 2% 5% 19%[cg] 15%
SurveyUSA February 13–16, 2025 835 (RV) 11% 37% 9% 7% 6% 0% 20%[ch]
McLaughlin & Associates February 11–18, 2025 418 (LV) 8% 36% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 18%[ci] 23%
Echelon Insights February 10–13, 2025 447 (LV) 2% 10% 36% 6% 5% 2% 3% 9% 19%[cj] 10%
McLaughlin & Associates January 22–27, 2025 414 (LV) 2% 9% 33% 7% 6% 1% 3% 3% 22%[ck] 22%
January 20, 2025 Second inauguration of Donald Trump
McLaughlin & Associates December 11–16, 2024 428 (LV) 2% 12% 35% 7% 3% 3% 5% 5% 15%[cl] 19%
Emerson College November 20–22, 2024 400 (RV) 4% 37% 7% 1% 1% 3% 1% 15%[cm] 35%
Echelon Insights November 14–18, 2024 457 (LV) 2% 6% 41% 8% 4% 2% 7% 6% 10%[cn] 16%
Morning Consult November 15–17, 2024 1,012 (V) 2% 9% 43% 8% 4% 1% 5% 7% 22%[co]
November 5, 2024 2024 United States presidential election held.
Morning Consult/Politico May 28–29, 2024 3,997 (RV) 10% 21% 10% 3% 12%[cp] 41%
Echelon Insights January 16–18, 2024 499 (RV) 13% 33% 11% 3% 2% 9%[cq] 29%

Statewide

California
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Gavin
Newsom
Josh
Shapiro
Gretchen
Whitmer
Other Undecided
Citrin_POLITICO July 28 – August 12, 2025 1,445 (RV) 4% 13% 10% 19% 2% 25% 3% 3% 21%[cr]
Emerson College August 4–5, 2025 444 (LV) 2.7% 17.4% 9% 11% 1.2% 23.1% 4.4% 1.6% 15.7%[cs] 13.9%
Capitol Weekly May 21–30, 2025 1,122 (LV) 7.7% 9.9% 15.3% 17.2% 6.3% 5.5% 5%[ct] 33.1%
Capitol Weekly February 3–7, 2025 681 V 5% 15% 15% 6% 27% 6% 6% 20%[cu]
Florida
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Pete Buttigieg Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Cory Booker Gavin Newsom Andy Beshear Josh Shapiro Undecided
Victory Insights June 7–10, 2025 600 LV 23% 14% 12% 12% 5% 3% 31%
New Hampshire
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
JB
Pritzker
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Saint Anselm August 26–27, 2025 1776 (RV) 5% 23% 6% 23% 7% 9% 4% 15%[cv] 12%
North Carolina
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Emerson College July 28–30, 2025 445 (LV) 5.2% 16.8% 12% 10.2% 6.9% 25%[cw] 23.9%
Ohio
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Tim
Walz
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 18–19, 2025 383 (RV) 15.3% 6.8% 20% 8.1% 6.6% 7.1% 18.8%[cx] 17.4%
Texas
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size[b] Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
Gavin
Newsom
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Other Undecided
Emerson College August 11–12, 2025 370 (RV) 21.6% 16.8% 19.5% 5.6% 5.4% 16.9%[cy] 14.2%

General election

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Donald Trump
(R)[d]
JD Vance
(R)
Marco Rubio
(R)
Kamala Harris
(D)
Gavin Newsom
(D)
Barack Obama
(D)[d]
Josh Shapiro
(D)
Gretchen Whitmer
(D)
Pete Buttigieg
(D)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(D)
Stephen A. Smith
(D)
Undecided
Leger360 August 29–31, 2025 849 (A) 44% 48% 8%
837 (A) 46% 47% 7%
796 (A) 44% 49% 7%
YouGov/Yahoo August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,690 (A) 41% 49% 10%
41% 49% 10%
Emerson College August 25–26, 2025 1,000 (RV|) 44.4% 43.5% 12.1%
On Point/SoCal Strategies August 18, 2025 700 (A) 37% 41% 21%
37% 39% 23%
37% 35% 28%
Emerson College July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (RV) 44% 43% 13%
44% 41% 15%
45% 42% 13%
Overton Insights June 23–26, 2025 1,200 (RV) 42% 45% 12%
46% 43% 11%
Change Research[v] March 10, 2025 42% 49% 9%
January 20, 2025 Second inauguration of Donald Trump
On Point/SoCal Strategies December 23, 2024 656 (A) 41% 43% 16%
37% 34% 29%
37% 34% 29%
40% 33% 26%
American Pulse Research & Polling December 17–20, 2024 661 (LV) 46% 47% 7%

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Individuals listed below have been mentioned as potential 2028 presidential candidates in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.
  2. 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Registered Independent, left Democratic Party in 2023
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 Ineligible per the 22nd Amendment to the Constitution
  5. None of the above 7.7%, Tim Scott 1.6%, Brian Kemp 0.3%, Tom Cotton 0.3%, Kristi Noem 0.1%
  6. Mike Pence 2%, Tulsi Gabbard 1%, Tim Scott 1%, Someone else 2%
  7. Sarah Huckabee Sanders 4%, Tim Scott 4%, Rand Paul 2%, Brian Kemp 2%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, Another candidate 6%
  8. S. Huckabee Sanders 2%, Tulsi Gabbard 2%, Glenn Youngkin 2%, Greg Abbott 2%, Tim Scott 1%, Kristi Noem 1%, Tom Cotton 1%, Rick Scott 1%, Elise Stefanik 0%, Larry Hogan *
  9. Brian Kemp 2.2%, Tulsi Gabbard 1.5%, Glenn Youngkin 0.9%, Kristi Noem 0.8%, Someone else 1.9%
  10. Sarah Huckabee Sanders 2%, Tulsi Gabbard 2%, Josh Hawley 1% Kristi Noem 1%, Steve Bannon *%, Glenn Youngkin *%, Tim Scott *%, Doug Burgum *%, Someone else 3%
  11. None of the above 7.6%, Tim Scott 2.6%, Kristi Noem 1.4%, Greg Abbott 0.9%, Brian Kemp 0.2%, Tom Cotton 0.2%
  12. Sarah Huckabee Sanders 3%, Tim Scott 1%, Tulsi Gabbard 1%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, Steve Bannon 1%, Josh Hawley *%, Kristi Noem *%, Doug Burgum -, Someone else 1%
  13. Glenn Youngkin 2%, S. Huckabee Sanders 1%, Tim Scott 1%, Greg Abbott 1%, Rick Scott 1%, Tom Cotton 1%, Elise Stefanik 1%, Tulsi Gabbard 1%, Kristi Noem 0%, Larry Hogan*
  14. Kristi Noem 2%, Tulsi Gabbard 1%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, Brian Kemp <0.5%, Scott Bessent <0.5%, Someone else 4%
  15. Other Republican 11%
  16. Greg Abbott 2%, Tulsi Gabbard 2%, Kristi Noem 1%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, S. Huckabee Sanders 1%, Tim Scott 1%, Tom Cotton 1%, Rick Scott 1%, Elise Stefanik 0%, Larry Hogan *
  17. Tim Scott 2.2%, Glenn Youngkin 1.1%, Tom Cotton 0.9%, Greg Abbott 0.8%, Brian Kemp 0.7%, Kristi Noem 0.5%, None of the listed 15.6%
  18. Tulsi Gabbard 2%, Rick Scott 1%, Kristi Noem 1%, S. Huckabee Sanders 1%, Tim Scott 1%, Greg Abbott 1%, Elise Stefanik 1%, Glenn Youngkin 1%
  19. Tim Scott 2%, Kristi Noem 2%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, Elise Stefanik 1%, Steve Bannon 1%, Scott Bessent 0%, None of the mentioned 3%
  20. 3% for Glenn Youngkin; 1% for Tulsi Gabbard, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Tim Scott; <1% for Steve Bannon, Doug Burgum, Josh Hawley, and Kristi Noem; 1% for "Someone else"
  21. 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders, 2% Kristi Noem, 1% Tulsi Gabbard, 1% Glenn Youngkin, 1% Rick Scott, 1% Elise Stefanik, 1% Greg Abbott, 1% Tim Scott
  22. 22.0 22.1 22.2 22.3 Polling was conducted under the hypothetical pretext of an amendment to the US constitution removing or changing the presidential two term limit, which had been hinted at by some GOP MAGA politicians as well an idea that has also been promoted by President Trump.[48]
  23. Scott 2%, Bannon 1%, Youngkin 1%, Noem 1%, Someone else 7%
  24. Youngkin 2%, Noem 1%, Bannon 1%, Bessent 1%, Scott 1%, Someone else 8%
  25. Youngkin 2%, Scott 1%, Stefanik 1%, Noem 1%, Someone else 7%
  26. Tulsi Gabbard 2%, Tucker Carlson 1%, Tim Scott 1%, Someone else 2%
  27. Kristi Noem 8%, Tucker Carlson 5%, Glenn Youngkin 3%
  28. Josh Hawley 1%, Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%, Kristi Noem 1%, Tulsi Gabbard 1%, Tim Scott 1%, someone else 2%
  29. 2% for Tulsi Gabbard; 1% for Steve Bannon, Josh Hawley, Brian Kemp, Tim Scott, and Glenn Youngkin; 3% for "Other"
  30. 4% for Tulsi Gabbard, 2% for Josh Hawley, Brian Kemp, and Tim Scott; 1% for Steve Bannon and Marjorie Taylor Greene; <0.5% for Glenn Youngkin; 5% for "Other"
  31. Tim Scott 1%, Tulsi Gabbard 1%, someone else 2%
  32. "I would not vote" with 7%
  33. Kristi Noem 2%, Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, Josh Hawley 1%, Tim Scott 1%
  34. Tulsi Gabbard and Kristi Noem with 2%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Larry Hogan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Rick Scott, and Tim Scott with 1%; Elise Stefanik and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  35. Kristi Noem and Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 2%; Doug Burgum, Josh Hawley, Tim Scott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Katie Britt and Elise Stefanik with <1%; "Someone else" with 2%
  36. Tulsi Gabbard with 3%; Gregg Abbott & Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Larry Hogan, Kristi Noem, Sarah Huckabee Sanders & Tim Scott with 1%
  37. Tim Scott with 3%; Tulsi Gabbard, Sarah Huckabee Sanders & Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem & Rick Scott with 1%; Larry Hogan & Elise Stefanik with <1%
  38. Greg Abbott, Tucker Carlson, Brian Kemp, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Someone else with 5%; Would not vote with 4%
  39. Tulsi Gabbard and Candace Owens with 1%; Elon Musk, and Glenn Youngkin with <1%; Someone else with 5%
  40. Musk is not eligible to serve as president as he is not a natural-born citizen
  41. Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 2%; Josh Hawley, Tim Scott, Glenn Youngkin, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, and Elise Stefanik with 0%; Someone else with 3%
  42. Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 3%; Josh Hawley, and Tim Scott with 2%; Katie Britt, Byron Donalds, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%
  43. Tucker Carlson with 6%; Greg Abbott with 3%; Kari Lake and Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Tom Cotton, Byron Donalds, Josh Hawley, Brian Kemp, and Elise Stefanik with 1%; Katie Britt with 0%
  44. Nikki Haley 4.6%, Marco Rubio 4.2%, Vivek Ramaswamy 3.9%, Kristi Noem 2.4%, Tulsi Gabbard 1.5%, Brian Kemp 0.9%, Scott Bessent 0.5%, Glenn Youngkin 0.3%, Someone else 0.4%
  45. Cheney 3%, Haley 3%, Ramaswamy 3%, Kennedy 2%, Cruz 1%, Other 5%
  46. Registered Independent, left Democratic Party in 2023
  47. Vivek Ramaswamy 3%, Nikki Haley 2.7%, Ted Cruz 2.4%, Kristi Noem 1%, Glenn Youngkin 0.8%, Brian Kemp 0.8%, Tulsi Gabbard 0.5%, Scott Bessent 0.4%, Someone else 2.4%
  48. Nikki Haley 4%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr 2.2%, Brian Kemp 1.2%, Kristi Noem 1%, Scott Bessent 0.9%, Tulsi Gabbard 0.8%, Ted Cruz 0.8%, Glenn Youngkin 0.7%, Someone else 0.9%
  49. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4.9%, Nikki Haley 4.1%, Vivek Ramaswamy 2.9%, Glenn Youngkin 1.5%, Tulsi Gabbard 1.3%, Kristi Noem 1%, Brian Kemp 0.7%, Scott Bessent 0.6%, Someone else 0.9%
  50. Jasmine Crockett 3%, Mark Cuban 3%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Jon Stewart 2%, John Fetterman 1%, Andy Beshear 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Ro Khanna 1%, Someone else 1%, Wes Moore *%, Stephen A. Smith *%, Jared Polis *%
  51. Andy Beshear 2.7%, Raphael Warnock 0.6%, Wes Moore 0.6%, Gretchen Whitmer 0.3%, Stephen A. Smith 0.2%, None of the above 6%
  52. Bernie Sanders 5%, Elizabeth Warren 3%, Mark Kelly 2%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Someone else 4%
  53. Gretchen Whitmer 2%
  54. Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Another candidate 3%
  55. Jasmine Crockett 3%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Roy Cooper 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Phill Murphy 1%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Deval Patrick *, Beto O'Rourke *
  56. Bernie Sanders 2.5%, Andy Beshear 2%, Wes Moore 1.9%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.5%, Ro Khanna 1.3%, Amy Klobuchar 0.8%, Rahm Emanuel 0.4%, Someone else 3.1%
  57. Someone else 22%
  58. Jasmine Crockett 3%, Gretchen Whitmer 3%, Mark Cuban 2%, Andy Beshear 2%, Wes Moore 1%, Jon Stewart 1%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Ruben Gallego *%, Chris Murphy *%, Raphael Warnock *%, Jared Polis *%, John Fetterman -, Rahm Emanuel -, Someone else 1%
  59. Mamdani is not eligible to serve as president as he is not a natural-born citizen.
  60. Zohran Mamdani 4%,[bg] None of the above 2.3%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.4%, Raphael Warnock 0.5%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%
  61. Mark Cuban 3%, Gretchen Whitmer 3%, Andy Beshear 2%, Chris Murphy 2%, John Fetterman 2%, Wes Moore 1%, Jasmine Crockett 1%, Jon Stewart 1%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Rahm Emanuel *%, Jared Polis *%, Ruben Gallego *%, Someone else 2%
  62. Mark Cuban 4%, Gretchen Whitmer 3%, John Fetterman 2%, Wes Moore 2%, Andy Beshear 2%, Jasmine Crockett 2%, Chris Murphy 2%, Jon Stewart 2%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Jared Polis *%, Ruben Gallego *%, Someone else 3%
  63. Gretchen Whitmer 4%, Amy Klobuchar 3%, Roy Cooper 2%, Stephen A. Smith 2%, Jasmine Crockett 2%, Wes Moore 1%, Phil Murphy 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Deval Patrick*, Beto O'Rourke*
  64. Wes Moore 3%, 12% some other candidate
  65. Gretchen Whitmer 5%, Wes Moore 2%, Stephen A. Smith 2%
  66. Gretchen Whitmer 7%, Wes Moore 4%, Stephen A. Smith 4%
  67. Charles Barkley 6%
  68. Bernie Sanders 5%, Gretchen Whitmer 3%, Andy Beshear 2%, Wes Moore 2%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Rahm Emanual 1%, Someone else 2%
  69. Other Democrat 33%
  70. Gretchen Whitmer 3%, Jasmine Crockett 2%, Rahm Emanuel 2%, Amy Klobuchar 2%, Roy Cooper 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Phil Murphy 1%, Jared Polis 0%, Deval Patrick *, Beto O'Rourke *
  71. Mark Cuban 4%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Amy Klobuchar 2%, Andy Beshear 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Ruben Gallego 1%, John Fetterman 1%, Jon Ossoff 0%, Raphael Warnock 0%, Chris Murphy 0%, Wes Moore 0%
  72. Gretchen Whitmer 3.7%, Raphael Warnock 1.4%, Chris Murphy 0.4%, Ro Khanna 0.3%, Stephen A. Smith 0.3%, Andy Beshear 0.2%, Rahm Emanuel 0.2%, None of the candidates listed 3.6%
  73. Gretchen Whitmer 3%, Amy Klobuchar 3%, Jasmine Crockett 2%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Roy Cooper 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Phil Murphy 1%
  74. Jasmine Crockett at 3%; Mark Cuban and Gretchen Whitmer at 2%; Andy Beshear, John Fetterman, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Jared Polis, Jon Stewart and Raphael Warnock at 1%; Ruben Gallego and Stephen A. Smith at <1%; "Someone else" at 1%
  75. 2% Jasmine Crockett, 2% Roy Cooper, 2% Amy Klobuchar, 1% Gretchen Whitmer, 1% Phil Murphy, 1% Wes Moore, 1% Stephen A. Smith
  76. Elizabeth Warren 4%, Wes Moore 1%, Gretchen Whitmer 1%, Andy Beshear 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Mark Kelly 1%, Someone else 2%
  77. Bernie Sanders with 6%
  78. 9% for Gretchen Whitmer; 2% for Andy Beshear, Raphael Warnock, and Chris Murphy
  79. Gretchen Whitmer; 3% for Amy Klobuchar and Jon Stewart; 2% for Andy Beshear and Mark Cuban; 1% for Chris Murphy
  80. 4% for Gretchen Whitmer; 2% for Andy Beshear, Mark Cuban, Amy Klobuchar, and Jon Stewart; 1% for Chris Murphy and Wes Moore; <0.5% for Jasmine Crockett, Shawn Fain, Stephen A. Smith, and Raphael Warnock
  81. Jasmine Crockett 3%, Jon Stewart 3%, and Gretchen Whitmer 3%, Wes Moore 2%, Andy Beshear 1%, Stephen A. Smith 1%, Jared Polis 1%, John Fetterman 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Someone Else 2%
  82. 4% for Mark Kelly; 3% for Andy Beshear, Mark Cuban and Gretchen Whitmer; 1% for Roy Cooper, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Wes Moore, and Stephen A. Smith; <0.5% for Jared Polis, 6% for "Other"
  83. Bernie Sanders 8%, Mark Kelly 4%, Elizabeth Warren 2%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, someone else 3%
  84. Mark Cuban 4%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Andy Beshear 2%, Amy Klobuchar 2%, Chris Murphy 1%, Jared Polis 1%, John Fetterman 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Ruben Gallego <1%, Someone else 2%
  85. Jasmine Crockett 3%, Mark Cuban 3%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Andy Beshear 2%, Jared Polis 1%, John Fetterman 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Jon Stewart 1%, Stephen A Smith <1%, Wes Moore <1%
  86. Someone else with 11%; Mark Cuban with 7%; Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Andy Beshear with 3%; Wes Moore with 2%; Phil Murphy with 1%
  87. Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Amy Klobuchar with 3%; Roy Cooper, Beto O'Rourke with 2%; Wes Moore, Phil Murphy, Deval Patrick, and Stephen A. Smith with 1%; Jared Polis with 0%
  88. Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Mark Cuban with 3%; Jasmine Crockett, John Fetterman and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Andy Beshear, Ruben Gallego, and Jared Polis with 1%; Wes Moore and Stephen A. Smith with <1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  89. Amy Klobuchar & Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Wes Moore, & Stephen A. Smith with 2%; Phil Murphy, Jared Polis & Beto O'Rourke with 1%, Deval Patrick with <1%
  90. Gretchen Whitmer & Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Amy Klobuchar, Wes Moore, Phil Murphy & Deval Patrick with 1%; Jared Polis with <1%
  91. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Michelle Obama and Bernie Sanders with 2%; Hakeem Jeffries, Wes Moore, Jon Stewart, and Rashida Tlaib with 1%; Andy Beshear and Mark Kelly with <1%; Someone else with 4%
  92. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Andy Beshear with 2%; Jared Polis and Wes Moore with 1%; Someone else with 1%
  93. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Amy Klobuchar, Elizabeth Warren, and Andy Beshear with 2%; Wes Moore and John Fetterman with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 6%
  94. Mark Kelly and Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; "Someone else" with 7%
  95. Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; John Fetterman, and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Andy Beshear and Wes Moore with 1%
  96. Tim Walz 4%, Ro Khanna 3%, Andy Beshear 3%, Mark Kelly 2%, JB Pritzker 1%, Ruben Gallego 1%, Gina Raimondo 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Jared Polis 1%, Other 2%
  97. Andy Beshear 4.8%, Bernie Sanders 3.9%, Tim Walz 2.3%, JB Pritzker 1.9%, Wes Moore 0.8%, Rahm Emanuel 0.8%, Ro Khanna 0.6%, Someone else 0.7%
  98. Elizabeth Warren 5%, (Other/Undecided 33.1%)
  99. JB Pritzker with 1%; Ruben Gallego and Wes Moore with <1%; "Other" with 18%
  100. Klobuchar 3%, Shapiro 3%, Whitmer 2%, Other 3%
  101. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.1%, Andy Beshear 3.7%, Tim Walz 3.3%, Josh Shapiro 3.2%, Gretchen Whitmer 3.2%, JB Pritzker 2.7%, Wes Moore 2.2%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%, Someone else 1.5%
  102. Andy Beshear 4.3%, JB Pritzker 3.4%, Josh Shapiro 2.8%, Cory Booker 2.7%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.4%, Rahm Emanuel 1.4%, Amy Klobuchar 1%, Wes Moore 0.5%, Ro Khanna 0.2%, Someone else 1.1%
  103. Cory Booker 3.5%, Tim Walz 3.5%, JB Pritzker 2.5%, Gretchen Whitmer 1.6%, Josh Shapiro 1.4%, Andy Beshear 1.3%, Amy Klobuchar 1.3%, Wes Moore 0.7%, Rahm Emanuel 0.3%, Ro Khanna 0.1%, Someone else 0.7%
  1. Foreign-born American citizens who met the age and residency requirements at the time the Constitution was adopted were also eligible for the presidency. However, this allowance has since become obsolete.

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