Next Irish general election

Next Irish general election
No later than January 2030
174 seats in Dáil Éireann
88 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
Fianna Fáil Micheál Martin
Sinn Féin Mary Lou McDonald
Fine Gael Simon Harris
Social Democrats Holly Cairns
Labour Ivana Bacik
Independent Ireland Michael Collins
People Before Profit–Solidarity Collective leadership
Aontú Peadar Tóibín
Green Roderic O'Gorman
100% Redress Tomas Seán Devine
Independent politician (Ireland) —
Ceann Comhairle Verona Murphy
Incumbent Taoiseach
Micheál Martin
Fianna Fáil

The next Irish general election to elect the 35th Dáil must be held no later than January 2030.

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Polls

Last date
of polling 		Commissioner Polling firm Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Sources FF FG SF SD Lab Aon II GP PBP–S O/I[nb 1]
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,319 2.7 [p 1] 20 20 20 8 4 4 5 1 3 14
Template:Opdrts The Irish Times Ipsos B&A 1,200 2.8 [p 2] 22 17 22 6 4 2 – [nb 2] 3 2 22
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,532 2.3 [p 3] 19 20 20 8 5 5 6 2 3 11
Template:Opdrts Business Post Red C 1,008 3.0 [p 4] 19 18 21 7 4 5 5 3 3 14
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,857 2.3 [p 5] 21 21 20 9 5 5 5 1 3 10
Template:Opdrts Business Post Red C 1,000 3.0 [p 6] 20 19 22 7 5 4 4 3 3 13
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,649 2.5 [p 7][p 8] 23 20 22 8 4 4 5 2 3 9
Template:Opdrts Business Post Red C 1,000 3.0 [p 9] 20 20 24 7 3 5 5 3 3 10
Template:Opdrts The Irish Times Ipsos B&A 1,200 2.8 [p 10] 22 16 26 7 4 1 – [nb 2] 3 3 17
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 2,072 2.2 [p 11] 25 21 21 8 4 4 4 2 3 9
Template:Opdrts Business Post Red C 1,002 3.0 [p 12] 22 17 22 7 4 4 4 3 3 13
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,373 2.7 [p 13] 22 22 21 7 4 3 5 2 2 11
Template:Opdrts Business Post Red C 1,029 3.0 [p 14] 20 20 23 7 4 4 4 3 3 11
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,591 2.5 [p 15][p 16] 24 20 22 8 4 4 4 3 2 9
Template:Opdrts Business Post Red C 1,003 3.1 [p 17] 22 20 22 7 3 4 3 3 2 13
Template:Opdrts Sunday Independent Ireland Thinks 1,206 2.9 [p 18] 23.8 22.3 19.3 7.3 3.8 5.3 4.9 2.3 2.2 8.8
29 November 2024 General election – – – – 21.9 20.8 19.0 4.8 4.7 3.9 3.6 3.0 2.8 15.5
Notes
  1. ↑ The figure for "Others and Independents" is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 Not specifically mentioned in the report.

References

Notes
Poll references
  1. ↑ Monahan, Tabitha (1 August 2025). "Bertie Ahern emerges as preferred Fianna Fáil candidate in race for the Aras, poll shows". Irish Independent.
  2. ↑ Leahy, Pat (17 July 2025). "Irish Times poll: Support for Government parties holds steady as Sinn Féin slumps". The Irish Times. Retrieved 18 July 2025.
  3. ↑ Gataveckaite, Gabija (6 July 2025). "Exclusive poll: Support dips for Taoiseach and Tanaiste amid forecasts of bleak Budget". Irish Independent.
  4. ↑ Thomas, Cónal (28 June 2025). "Red C poll: Stark political divide between homeowners and renters emerges". Business Post.
  5. ↑ Gataveckaite, Gabija (1 June 2025). "Poll: Housing crisis is deepening under the Coalition, public believe". Business Post.
  6. ↑ Thomas, Cónal; O'Leary, Alice (24 May 2025). "Red C poll: Sinn Féin drop as government parties steady". Business Post.
  7. ↑ Gataveckaite, Gabija (3 May 2025). "Poll: Paschal Donohoe is preferred FG leader as Fianna Fáil slumps after 'housing tsar' shambles". Irish Independent.
  8. ↑ "Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks poll at a glance: Housing tsars, government blues, Kneecap – and our next president". Irish Independent.
  9. ↑ Thomas, Cónal; O'Leary, Alice (26 April 2025). "Red C Poll: Fine Gael bounce back from record low as Sinn Féin clear Fianna Fáil by four points". Business Post.
  10. ↑ Leahy, Pat (17 April 2025). "Irish Times poll: Sinn Féin back on top as Fine Gael support slides to 30-year low". The Irish Times. Retrieved 17 April 2025.
  11. ↑ Gataveckaite, Gabija (5 April 2025). "Taoiseach Micheál Martin and Fianna Fáil see bounce in support after meeting with Donald Trump, new Sunday Independent poll shows". Irish Independent. Retrieved 5 April 2025.
  12. ↑ Thomas, Cónal (29 March 2025). "Red C Poll: Fine Gael slumps to lowest level of support with party five points behind Fianna Fáil". Business Post.
  13. ↑ Molony, Senan (1 March 2025). "Fine Gael up two points as Fianna Fáil drops, new 'Sunday Independent' opinion poll finds". Sunday Independent. Retrieved 1 March 2025.
  14. ↑ Moore, Jane (23 February 2025). "Opinion poll: Small drop in support for Fianna Fáil, with respondents citing missed housing targets". TheJournal.ie. Retrieved 23 February 2025.
  15. ↑ Gataveckaite, Gabija (1 February 2025). "Sinn Féin up as Fine Gael slips: Poll reveals housing is still biggest issue for public". Sunday Independent. Retrieved 2 February 2025.
  16. ↑ Cunningham, Paul (1 February 2025). "Support for Sinn Féin has increases while Fine Gael has slid, opinion poll suggests". RTÉ News. Retrieved 2 February 2025.
  17. ↑ Thomas, Cónal (25 January 2025). "Sinn Féin bounce back but government parties in strong position as new coalition gets to work". Business Post. Retrieved 26 January 2025.
  18. ↑ Gataveckaite, Gabija (11 January 2025). "Post-election bounce for Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael but support for Independents falls". Sunday Independent. Retrieved 13 January 2025.
General references
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